The Tyson Group conducted a survey between 4/10/24 - 4/11/24 targeting a representative sample of n=600 likely voters for the upcoming Arizona general election. The margin of error for this study is +/- 4%. Participants were recruited and surveyed using an online panel to gather their responses. The survey was commissioned and paid for by BreakingBattlegrounds.vote.
If you have questions or would like a quote, contact Sam Stone: Sam@cairnconsulting.com
You may download the survey’s topline report below.
Az Lge Abortion Survey Topline Report
636KB ∙ PDF file
A few highlights:
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54% of Arizonans believe current abortion laws are TOO STRICT in the state
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The territorial ban falls well short of consensus (24% support / 62% oppose / -38% NET)
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The return to 15 weeks posed by some republican legislators tests best (59% support / 24% oppose / +35% NET)
- 54% of the sample would be more likely to support a candidate that voted to repeal the 1864 ban and make it legal through 15 weeks again
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The ballot-measure to go to roughly 24 weeks tests similarly but loses about -5% of support (54% support / 29% oppose / +25% NET)
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56% of the sample agrees with Donald Trump’s statement regarding Arizona going too far and the Democrat governor bringing law back within reason.
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The sample was largely split down the middle on determining when is a reasonable time to have an abortion (19% never / 16% 6 weeks / 22% 15 weeks / 17% 24 weeks / 11% up until birth)
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Lastly, the supreme court’s recent ruling encourages more Arizonans to vote Democrat than Republican (D+3)
Chuck and Sam discuss this survey further and what it means for the future of Arizona on the recent episode of Breaking Battlegrounds at 51 minutes and 17 seconds.